It
probably won’t come as much of a shock to you that I don’t think this position
holds much water. But it’s just another example of the kind of thing that wraps
so many misconceptions into one package that it takes far more effort to refute
than it takes to state, and it sounds profound enough that someone who doesn’t
really want to think about our viewpoint can easily believe it and move on.
But oh…
where to begin? I guess first of all, atheism really isn’t a statement about
what you do believe, but what you don’t. It’s a response to the claim “God
exists,” and the response is “I don’t believe that.” Full stop. Atheism really
doesn’t require anything other than that, and it takes no faith at all to not
believe a claim.
But what
about the odds of everything coming into existence without a God? Surely those
are too astronomical to be discounted?
Well,
here’s the thing. We really do know nothing of what those odds are. Being
unable at present to look beyond our universe, we know nothing of the
conditions that might prevail outside of it, how often those conditions may
produce universes, and how much variation between different instances of
universe creation they actually permit. It could very well be that it’s not
possible for any other kind of universe to exist at all. Or it could be that
the odds are astronomical, but so
many universes pop into existence all the time that this exact one would be
statistically inevitable. We just don’t know. But one of the interesting things
about being an atheist is that, among us, “I don’t know,” isn’t a sentence to be
feared. If anything, it’s an opportunity to learn.
But
let’s say that the odds against the existence of this exact universe, where you
and I exist and are able to have this conversation, really are as
mind-bogglingly huge as stated. So what? It still requires no faith to believe
that it came about anyway. The belief that it’s some miraculous occurrence that
we’re here is kind of predicated on the assumption that our existence is
important in some fundamental way, and that’s something we really have no reason
to believe.
Let me
give you an illustration of what I mean.
Say you
have twenty standard six-sided dice. And let’s say you roll them and get the
following result:
6 6 6 6
6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
You
would be amazed! Do you know what the odds are of getting that roll? I’ll tell
you: 1 in 3,656,158,440,062,976. Approximately one in 3.6 quadrillion! Surely getting that result in a single roll would have
to be a miracle!
But
let’s say you roll the dice again. This time you get:
3 5 1 6
3 4 2 3 3 5 6 5 6 2 2 3 4 1 4 6
Well,
shucks. That’s just random noise. Nothing special about that roll at all. But
you want to know a little secret? The odds of getting that exact result in one
roll of the dice is 1 in 3,656,158,440,062,976. Approximately one in 3.6
quadrillion. Exactly the same as that result of all sixes. You’d roll that and
think nothing of it, despite the fact that it is exactly as likely as the
result you would have called miraculous.
Any time
you roll the dice, there has to be some
result. And any configuration you can think of is exactly as likely (or
unlikely) as any of the others. The only difference between the two results I
gave is that we assign a meaning to a result of all sixes, and assign no
meaning to a random collection of numbers. In other words, the one result only
seems miraculous because we care
about it.
It’s
exactly the same with our existence in the universe, I’m afraid. Given a
universe, it has to exist in some
state. The only thing that makes the state in which we do exist seem miraculous, compared to the many possible states in
which we don’t, is that we care about
it.
It’s
kind of like winning the lottery. To the person who wins, the odds must seem
astronomical, and their winning might appear miraculous. But, of course, we
know that someone must win. Well, in
the great cosmic lottery of existence, we happen to be the winners.
But why
does anything at all exist? I’m pretty comfortable with “I don’t know,” for the
time being. It could be that existence is just fundamental. It might be
necessary. It just may not be possible for there to be nothing. Maybe the laws of
physics are such that our current state of being is far more likely that it
appears at first blush. I don’t know. Maybe there are universe-building pixies.
I don’t believe that either, but who knows? But what I’m getting at is the idea
that there are so many possibilities other than “God,” or “random unfathomable chance,”
that it makes no sense to believe in any of them that aren’t pointed to by
actual evidence. And it takes no faith at all to not believe in them.
But even
if it did, I don’t see any reason to believe that “a process we do not (yet)
understand resulted in the universe as we know it existing,” somehow requires more faith than “a process we do not
(try to) understand resulted in a fully formed self-aware entity infinitely greater than the universe existing,
and it decided to make the universe as we know it.” That’s something we
atheists regard as solving a mystery by appealing to a bigger mystery.
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